When lightweight winner Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his second title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days before the show, the UFC had choices galore.
You see, in the same way the featherweight kingpin will inform you, any card headlined by the Dubliner will be a money-making bonanza. The promotion first offered the struggle to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but neither answered the telephone.
Edgar was coping with a groin injury that had prevented him from training for the several months, while Aldo’s trainer said he was not in good enough shape conditioning-wise to take the battle on such short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was just one fighter volunteering his services, linking the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn needed a shot at McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than prepared when contacted from the UFC. Dana White let the rumors in the air for several hours before deciding that the attention from fans was highest for a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had informed the UFC he’d fight anybody on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp suggested getting down to 155 on short note was too much, the UFC countered using a catchweight offer of 160 lbs. Diaz countered with 165.
Whenever the UFC called’The Notorious,’ he said let’s just take action at 170. Thus, tonight’s main event for UFC 196 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Ad Most novels opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at around -300, but the chances are becoming more expensive with every passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most spots had McGregor favored in the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was around +380 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we have arrived at combat day, most places have McGregor in -500 or greater. The best payout for Diaz overseas is at 5Dimes, which includes him at +425.
The complete for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165′over’). For all those gamblers wanting to shave off some of the’chalk’ yet back McGregor, the brace for him to win within the distance does not offer you much help (-278 in 5Dimes).
If you would like to take McGregor’s advice that he’ll dust Diaz from the opening round, that prop offers a +170 return. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make rapid work of Diaz, similar to his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there is a brace at 5Dimes that the battle won’t go 1:01 that offers a lucrative +550 return.
For McGregor to win by TKO/KO (in any round), the price is -275 (risk $275 to win $100). We ought to notice that Diaz hasn’t been finished at the first round in 28 professional spells.
In reality, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has just been completed twice. He was filed by Hermes Franca in WEC 24 at the second round, along with the 209 product endured his only livelihood TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson in the next round of their April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel.)
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