The Kentucky Derby is a bettor’s paradise. The race includes 2o of the nation’s best three-year-old thoroughbreds — horses which have conquered out tens of thousands of others to win spots in what’s frequently known as the most exciting two minutes in sport. And this year’s contenders could be the strongest harvest Churchill Downs CHDN +0% has seen in years.
“In my opinion, there’s a deeper field of possible winners in this year’s Kentucky Derby,” Churchill Downs CEO Bill Carstanjen told Forbes in a meeting a month. Normally, he moved on, you will find a handful of horses who appear poised to win. This year, he stated,”it is more than a few. You just have to throw up your hands and say,’I am just not certain who will win! ”’
Horse-players occasionally like to state that”money win money,” meaning that the more you gamble, the more you’ll win. But you can not bet on each horse in the race. Thus, to cut through the confusion and help you narrow your choices, Forbes talked with betting experts Nick and Julie Tooth. The Tooths are a husband-and-wife team of”BETologists” at Keeneland Racecourse, which sits only an hour away from Churchill Downs in Lexington, Kentucky. They function the track to help regular racing lovers — i.e., those of us Ph.D.s in handicapping — learn that horses are worth a visit to the parimutuel window.
Here is what they say are some of the smartest ways to set up your betting dollars, presuming the track is dry and fast on Saturday. Many of their picks involve race favorites Justify and Mendelssohn, and you may learn more about those horses here. But if the program is muddy from a lot of rain, they warn, you might want to consider throwing out some of the under names in favor of My Boy Jack, Flameway and Enticed, three horses that have”proven wet track form,” the Tooths say.The bet: $10 to win and $10 to place on Mendelssohn.
This wager will put money in your pocket if Mendelssohn comes in first or second position on Saturday. As you could do this for any horse that you like best, Julie recommends Mendelssohn based on his commanding performance in the U.A.E Derby: the horse won the mile-and-three-sixteenths race by almost 19 lengths ahead of this second-place finisher. With 5-1 morning line odds for the Run for the Roses, he is not going to generate the biggest return — but if you would like to cash a ticket, then there are worse ways to proceed.
What to say/do: In case you’re fortunate enough to be at Churchill Downs on Saturday and want a true ticket to hold, head to a parimutuel window and say,”Hurry 12, $10 to win and $10 to place on the 14.” If you’re seeing from any other track, indicate that your wager is for”Churchill Downs, race 12″ before making your bet.
If you’re betting online — via TwinSpires or even NYRA, for example — make sure you’ve chosen the right path from the various drop-down menus. Under”wager type,” click”win” and input $10; subsequently do exactly the exact same thing for”PLC” or”place.”
Total price: $20
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