Basketball and gambling have more in common than you might think. So as to be successful at pursuit, it is helpful to have an established system. In the event of basketball, having a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out every game irrespective of the matchup provides you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime in the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to gambling, you can acquire the same type of advantage by having a closely defined set of principles which it is possible to use to every single game regardless of who’s on the court.
Fortunately, you don’t have to produce your own betting system from scratch. There are already several recognized strategies that you can try on for size when you lay down wagers on your favorite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering from the playbooks of individuals who arrived before you. We’ve included some of the most dependable systems and money-management approaches below, along with insights on the best way to use them. When combined with an understanding of the game, these systems can help turn rookie betters into all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few strategies are easier to understand and apply in relation to the High Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody found that sportsbooks frequently underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and started taking the over on all matches using an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a very simple approach, but it paid off as he was correct 63.5% of time for all games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games were rarities a decade ago, but they’re getting more common today as teams push the pace and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have gotten savvy to this tendency, but there’s still worth to be found by taking the over in matches with particularly high total-point projections.
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