The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at 2 p.m. ET, and every corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked trail where passing is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin grabbed his next victory of the 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He’s got a win at Bristol under his belt and is listed at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. However, there are six drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the favorite followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your 2019 Food City 500 picks, see the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven pc version at SportsLine.
Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those drivers at McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes in the Automobile Club 400. Anyone who has followed its picks is way up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For Sundaywe could tell you the version is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol chances.
Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins at this track among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August in the NASCAR in Bristol race for his 30th career success in NASCAR’s top series.
The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion battled his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position because race and has also already come from the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this season too, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.
Along with a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, one of the top Vegas favorites at 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth than the 12-1 premium he’s controlling.
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