This weekend, we have a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some decent contests available with this Fight Night card, which can be rare for all these free ones. The principal tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I’ll be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. But this week DraftKings has two contests for trips out to Vegas to see that the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel flight, and struggles all paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entry and the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I will need to take a few shots at that too. Also, DraftKings just released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That is by far the biggest prize we have seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can take a few additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the safest win on the card and that I think she gets this battle finished early. That is where I am starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favored who is being fed up an easy win , for my cash games. I do like a lot of the top favorites on this particular card, I just would be the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is good in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the best place to get your Souza investment this week. Simply take this win, and then find 3 others and you need to be useful in cash games.
GPP drama of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a big Charles”Can Bronx” Oliveira fan, and he has some of my favorites in UFC history. I think we can see another amazing one here. This fight appears to be easy to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he could get it then he likely gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a strong 100 points and I am pretty certain in that being the outcome of the fight, so that’s why he is my GPP play of the week. He’s also my GPP play of this week, and not my Money play of this week for a motive. If he can not get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get finished himself together with strikes. I really don’t like that risk of a low floor because of my cash LU, so I prefer Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the $200 and moving down to Do Bronx.
Underdog drama of this week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders a lot more if he was not taking this fight on short notice, and if it wasn’t in Brazil. However he can have a very clear path to victory here and that’s by knocking outside Santos who doesn’t have a fantastic chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this struggle and he can win with some tough GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely wind up on the winning LU when he is able to acquire the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I do think this is a solid matchup for Anders, however he has to be aggressive and never hang out on the outside. If he hangs out on the outside too long Santos will consume him up with kicks and it could be a brief night for Anders. I will pick him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it completed in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it’ll win you a GPP if you’re able to get your additional five spots correct also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is obviously a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was quite wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it if that happens again here. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO triumph to pay off a 9.2k salary from a guy who does not throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roster him and the only way get caught that’s with a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each fight, my private strategies & suggestions, and also my selection prediction for every fight then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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